Southern California Law Review

July, 1993

 

2020 Vision: A Plan for the Future of California's Courts

 

*2121 ALTERNATIVE COURT STRUCTURES IN THE FUTURE OF THE CALIFORNIA

JUDICIARY: 2020 VISION

 

Lawrence B. Solum [FNa1]

 

 

 

 

Copyright ©  1993 by the University of Southern California; Lawrence B. Solum

 

 

 

 

 

                               TABLE OF CONTENTS                               

 

  I.  INTRODUCTION, TRENDS, ASSUMPTIONS, AND METHODOLOGY ................. 2122

 

      A. INTRODUCTION .................................................... 2122

 

      B. THE 'LITIGATION EXPLOSION' IN PERSPECTIVE: 1960, 1990, AND 2020 . 2123

 

      C. THE ASSUMPTIONS BEHIND THE SCENARIOS ............................ 2130

 

      D. THE ROLE OF THE SCENARIOS ....................................... 2131

 

 II.  FIVE SCENARIOS ..................................................... 2132

 

      A. THE TRADITIONAL JUSTICE SCENARIO ................................ 2132

 

      B. THE PRIVATIZATION OF JUSTICE SCENARIO ........................... 2139

 

      C. THE MULTI-DOOR COURTHOUSE SCENARIO .............................. 2146

 

      D. THE ADMINISTRATIVE JUSTICE SCENARIO ............................. 2153

 

      E. THE COMMUNITY-BASED JUSTICE SCENARIO ............................ 2160

 

III.  PREFERRED FUTURES .................................................. 2165

 

      A. LIMITS ON THE PROCESS OF PREFERRING A FUTURE .................... 2165

 

      B. DISPUTE RESOLUTION RESOURCES SHOULD BE RATIONED FAIRLY AND            

 

        EFFICIENTLY ...................................................... 2166

 

      C. AN ECONOMIC APPROACH TO RATIONING: DISPUTE RESOLUTION AS A            

 

        PUBLIC GOOD ...................................................... 2172

 

      D. RATIONING AND THE ROLE OF THE JURY .............................. 2176

 

      E. RATIONING AND THE SCENARIOS ..................................... 2178

 

 IV.  CONCLUSION ......................................................... 2181

 

 

 

*2122 I. INTRODUCTION, TRENDS, ASSUMPTIONS, AND METHODOLOGY

 

A. INTRODUCTION

 

  This Article examines the role of alternative court structures in the future of California's judicial system. For the purposes of the Article, the term "alternative court structures" includes:

 

  (1) the use of alternative dispute resolution mechanisms, such as mediation and arbitration, in the place of, or as an adjunct to, the traditional litigation process;

 

  (2) the use of private judging as an alternative to public court systems;

 

  (3) the use of administrative adjudication as an alternative to the traditional court system; and

 

  (4) the use of informal, decentralized, and community-based dispute resolution as an alternative to formal, centralized dispute resolution within the judicial system.

 

  In addition, this Article explores the impact of structural reforms, such as changes in fee-shifting rules, and the adoption of aggregation techniques, such as class actions, on traditional court structures.

 

  The wide variety of proposals for "alternative court structures" can be illuminated by examining five scenarios in which alternative court structures play a substantial role in California's judicial system by the year 2020. Each scenario takes one idea for judicial reform to its logical limit.

 

  (1) In the traditional justice scenario, a meaningful jury-trial option is preserved by making the system more efficient.

 

  (2) In the privatization of justice scenario, the court system is privatized: High quality dispute resolution is delivered at a lower price as a result of market competition.

 

  (3) In the multi-door courthouse scenario, the public courts make greater use of alternative dispute resolution ("ADR"): Each case is referred to the resolution service that is most appropriate for the dispute.

 

  *2123 (4) In the administrative justice scenario, the legislature transfers the bulk of judicial business from the traditional courts to administrative agencies. No-fault insurance is one example.

 

  (5) In the community-based justice scenario, disputes are transferred from the traditional courts to neighborhood justice centers.

 

  The most important consideration in making policy concerning alternative court structure is rationing of access to dispute resolution services. Although the present system is not experiencing a litigation explosion, it does and must ration access to dispute resolution, a valuable service that consumes social resources. Such rationing should be done fairly and efficiently. An economic interpretation of "fair" and "efficient" rationing would focus on the idea of a "public good"--the kind of benefit that cannot be provided by markets. Priority should be given to provision of dispute resolution services to cases in which the public good predominates over the benefit to private litigators. Examples of such cases include serious criminal matters and public-law litigation.

 

 

B. THE "LITIGATION EXPLOSION" IN PERSPECTIVE: 1960, 1990, AND 2020

 

 

  This Article's analysis of the role of alternative court structures in the future of the state's judicial system is premised on the proposition that understanding the future requires knowledge of the past. The notion that California is undergoing a "court crisis" has often been repeated throughout twentieth-century debate about court reform, from the progressive era to the present day. [FN1] Current perceptions that the courts face a "litigation explosion" [FN2] should be placed in historical perspective before projections are made about the catastrophic implications for the year 2020.

 

  This section puts the notion of crisis in perspective by providing three  "snapshots" of the judicial system. The first snapshot is of the system as it existed approximately thirty years ago in 1960. The second snapshot is of the system as it exists today, represented by data for the year 1990. The third snapshot is of the system as it might exist in the year 2020, based on an extrapolation from existing trends and reasonable assumptions. Table One, Table Two, and Table Three present data, derived from the Reports of the Judicial Council, comparing 1990 with *2124 1960. [FN3] Table One presents data on total filings. Table Two looks at filings per capita. Table Three examines the percentage of filings that are criminal in nature. Table Four presents the comparative data for civil filings.

 

 

                       TABLE ONE: TOTAL FILINGS                       

 

Total Filings Court(s)/Year        1960        1990  Percentage Change

 

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Appellate and Supreme Courts      3,069      25,392      +727.37%     

 

Superior Court                  329,539     979,810      +197.33%     

 

Municipal and Justice Courts  7,894,148  16,408,576      +107.86%     

 

----------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

          TABLE TWO: FILINGS PER TEN-THOUSAND RESIDENTS          

 

Per Person Courts/Year           1960     1990  Percentage Change

 

-----------------------------------------------------------------

Appellate and Supreme Courts    19.50    85.30           +336.96%

 

Superior Court                 209.67   329.23            +57.02%

 

Municipal and Justice Courts  502.268  551.363             +9.77%

 

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1. The System in 1960

 

  As Table One indicates, the total number of filings in the appellate courts of California was 3069 in 1960, translating into approximately 20 cases per 10,000 residents, as detailed in Table Two. The total number of filings in the superior courts was 329,539; this figure approximates 210 superior court cases per 10,000 residents. The total number of municipal and justice court filings was 7,894,148; this translates into about 500 cases per 10,000 residents.

 

  As Table Four indicates, in 1960 the number of civil filings in small claims court was 263,968 (168 per 10,000 residents), in municipal and

 

 

       TABLE THREE: CRIMINAL CASES AS A PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL CASES FILED         

 

Criminal cases as a percentage of total               1960  1990   Percentage  

 

                                                                     Change    

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Appellate and Supreme Courts                           53%   50%          -5.66

 

Superior Court                                          9%   15%         +66.67

 

Municipal & Justice Courts (excluding traffic and       7%    7%          +0.00

 

  parking)                                                                     

 

Municipal & Justice Courts (excluding parking)         46%   55%         +19.57

 

Municipal & Justice Courts (including traffic and      94%   93%          -1.06

 

  parking)                                                                     

 

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                  TABLE FOUR: CIVIL FILINGS IN 1960 AND 1990                    

 

Court           1960      1990     Percentage    1960      1990     Percentage 

 

               Filings   Filings   Increase #   Filings   Filings    Increase  

 

                                   of Filings     Per       Per     Per 10,000 

 

                                                10,000    10,000               

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Municipal &                                                                    

 

  Justice                                                                      

 

  Courts:                                                                      

 

Small Claims    263,968   503,993         +91%       168       169          +1%

 

Municipal &                                                                    

 

  Justice                                                                      

 

  Courts:                                                                      

 

Other Civil     233,867   631,873        +170%       149       212         +43%

 

Superior                                                                       

 

  Courts:                                                                      

 

General Civil    96,154   202,721        +111%        61        68         +11%

 

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*2125 justice courts, 233,867 (149 per 10,000 residents), and in superior court, 96,154 (61 per 10,000 residents). These figures include civil lawsuits and exclude matters such as mental health proceedings, probate matters, and so forth. [FN4]

 

 

*2126 2. The System in 1990

 

  There were 25,392 appellate filings in 1990, about 85 per 10,000 residents.   [FN5] Thus, the number of appellate filings increased about 727% in the thirty-year period; on a per capita basis, the number of appellate filings increased by 337%. There were 979,810 superior court filings, translating into about 330 cases per 10,000 residents. This represents a 197% increase over 1960, but expressed per capita, the increase was 57%. The total number of municipal and justice court filings was 16,408,576, about 550 per 10,000 residents. The increase from 1960 was 107%, but on a per capita basis, the number of filings was up about 10%. When compared to other states, the civil and criminal filing rates for 1990 in California are well below the median.  [FN6] The appellate filing rate for California was at the national median.  [FN7]

 

  Table Four presents the figures for civil filings in the core civil litigation area. In 1990, there were 503,993 civil filings in small claims court (169 per 10,000 residents), 631,873 civil filings in municipal and justice courts combined (212 per 10,000 residents), and 202,721 civil filings in superior court (68 per 10,000 residents). Again, the figures include civil lawsuits and exclude matters such as mental health proceedings, probate matters, and so forth.

 

 

3. Change in the Last Thirty Years

 

  Over the past thirty years, the absolute number of cases filed in both the appellate and trial courts of California has increased substantially. However, on a per capita basis, filings have remained relatively constant at the trial level, while increasing significantly at the appellate level. If civil cases are considered separately, the per capita increases at the small claims and superior court levels are modest; the per capita increase in civil filings in municipal court is more substantial.

 

  The increase in the caseload of the appellate courts in California has been dramatic. Although the number of appellate court judges has increased during that time, the size of the California Supreme Court has remained constant, raising concerns about the court's ability to process *2127 its caseload.  [FN8] One reason for the increase in appellate cases seems to be the growth in the number of original criminal proceedings at the appellate level. [FN9]

 

  The caseload of the superior courts has also increased substantially. In comparison, the absolute increase in the caseload of the municipal and justice courts was much smaller, and on a per capita basis the increase from 1960 to 1990 was quite modest. These changes in caseload are expressed as the percentage increase from the 1960 caseload to the 1990 caseload divided by the 1960 caseload in Table Five, below. If core civil filings are considered, the increase in the number of civil filings on a per

 

 

                 TABLE FIVE: 1960 TO 1990 PERCENTAGE INCREASE                  

 

                Court                    Percentage Change 1960 to 1990 Cases  

 

                                                        Filed                  

 

                                       ----------------------------------------

                                           Per Capita        Number of Cases   

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Appellate and Trial    Appellate and                +337%                 +723%

 

  Courts:                                                                      

 

All Filings            Supreme Courts                                          

 

                       Superior Court                +57%                 +187%

 

                       Municipal and                 +10%                 +108%

 

                       Justice Courts                                          

 

Trial Courts:            Municipal:                   +1%                  +91%

 

Civil Filings Only      Small Claims                                           

 

                         Municipal:                  +43%                 +170%

 

                        Other Civil                  

 

                         Superior:                   +11%                 +111%

 

                       General Civil                                           

 

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capita basis has been quite modest both in small claims court and the superior court--1% and 11% respectively. The increase in "Other *2128 Civil" filings in the municipal court was 43%. This is the only civil category in which the data could be read to indicate the existence of a "litigation explosion"--although the applicability of that description to a 43% increase over a thirty-year period might be disputed. [FN10]

 

  Filing statistics do not offer a complete picture of the workload of the courts, because the amount of time a judge spends on each filing varies enormously with the type of case. The 1986 Municipal Courts' Judicial Weighted Caseload Study, [FN11] conducted by the Judicial Council of California, provides illustrative data. The study calculated a "case weight" factor for each category of cases. [FN12] For example, criminal cases in the superior court have a weight of 236 points; whereas small claims actions have a weight of 6.8 points. [FN13]

 

  Thus, although criminal cases accounted for only 15% of the filings in 1990, given their case weight of 236, the percentage of court time devoted to criminal cases is far higher than 15%. For example, the Judicial Council's 1991 Annual Report estimates that criminal cases constitute 44.6% of the superior courts' weighted caseload for fiscal year 1989-90. [FN14] Criminal matters, excluding traffic and parking cases, accounted for 47.2% of the municipal and justice courts' weighted caseload for the same period. [FN15]

 

 

*2129 4. The System in 2020

 

  There are many factors that will influence the judicial system in the next thirty years. Simply projecting the changes from 1960 to 1990 onto the year 2020 is not a reliable guide to the future. The thirty-year period from 1960 to 1990 involved a variety of social and legal changes that may have influenced the changes in the judicial system. The underlying forces are not likely to move in exactly the same way in the next thirty years as they did in the last thirty years. For example, in the 1960s and 1970s, courts and legislatures created a wide variety of new legal rights. [FN16] These new legal rights, ranging from new tort actions to new civil rights, may have been one factor driving the increase in judicial business over the past thirty years. The 1990s may well be a period of legal retrenchment and legal contraction rather than expansion. The ascendancy of conservative majorities on both the California Supreme Court and the United States Supreme Court in the 1980s may have already begun such a trend.

 

  Many other factors will influence changes in judicial caseloads in the next thirty years. If the period between 1990 and 2020 resembles the period between 1960 and 1990, then we might expect the macro-level changes to be modest. The per capita filing rate would increase at the trial level, but not at alarming rates. If the per capita appellate filing rate were to increase fourfold in the next twenty years, as it did over the last twenty years, the appellate courts would be faced with a very substantial case-management problem.

 

  One trend that should be a cause for concern is that criminal cases are consuming a growing proportion of the superior court docket. The following projection is intended to serve a heuristic function, illustrating a possibility rather than making a prediction. Assuming that the change in the percentage of criminal filings from 1990 to the year 2020 will equal the change from 1960 to 1990, and assuming that the relative weights of criminal and noncriminal cases remain the same, the future would resemble the results shown in Table Six.

 

 

        TABLE SIX: PROJECTED CRIMINAL CASELOAD IN SUPERIOR COURT [FN17]        

Year    Criminal Filings as % of Total        Criminal Filings as % of Total   

 

                    Filings                              Workload              

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1960                                   9%                  27%                 

 

1990                                  15%                  45%                 

 

2020                                  25%                  75%                 

 

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*2130 If this projection were accurate, the system in 2020 would look very different than the system looked in 1960. Criminal cases' projected 75% share of the superior court docket represents almost a complete reversal of the 1960 statistic, in which noncriminal cases represented an estimated 73% of the caseload.

 

 

C. THE ASSUMPTIONS BEHIND THE SCENARIOS

 

1. Core Assumptions

 

  The following are the core assumptions on which the baseline predictions for 2020 are based:

    . The demand for formal dispute resolution will continue to grow. This assumption is based on further assumptions concerning population growth, the shape of the substantive law, attitudes toward dispute resolution, and so forth. [FN18]

    . The demand for resolution of criminal cases will grow at a faster pace than the demand for resolution of civil disputes. [FN19]

    . Because of constraints on public resources, the supply of judges, courtrooms, and other court resources will not increase in proportion to the increased demand. The number of real dollars allocated to traditional courts per dispute will decline. [FN20]

    *2131 . The judicial system will assign priority to criminal cases when allocating scarce resources. As a result, the resources available for traditional resolution of civil cases will decline.

 

 

2. Alternative Assumptions

 

  The assumptions stated above are only assumptions. A number of factors could result in a very different sort of future for the California judiciary. Some possibilities include:

    . The aging of the state's current population and increased drug education efforts result in a much lower level of drug use and in dramatically reduced demand for criminal justice. The resources available for judicial resolution of civil cases grow both in absolute terms and on a per- dispute basis.

    . Adequate resources are provided for the judicial system to handle expanding criminal and civil caseloads. The legislature and county governments find financial resources to fund traditional courts at higher per capita levels. With adequate resources, the system is able to process all cases expeditiously. [FN21]

    . The number of civil disputes requiring formal resolution declines. This might result from changes in the substantive law that offer fewer opportunities for cost-effective litigation or from new penalty structures that more effectively deter violation of civil-law norms.

 

  Even if one or more of these factors increases the relative supply of traditional courts, the use of alternative court structures and alternative dispute resolution mechanisms might still increase. For example, alternative (or appropriate) dispute resolution ("ADR") may be less costly both to litigants and to the judicial system than traditional resolution. ADR might also be preferred on the ground that it produces better out-comes than the traditional process. The basic assumptions for the scenarios describe one path to a future in which alternative court structures play an important role; but this is not the only possible path.

 

 

D. THE ROLE OF THE SCENARIOS

 

 

  The core of this Article is contained in five scenarios for the future of the California judiciary. These scenarios do not represent predictions *2132 about the future. These are not the five most likely outcomes of current trends, nor are they necessarily the five most desirable future states of the court system. Rather, each of the five scenarios represents an "ideal type," [FN22] the logical extension of a set of both normative and factual premises about how courts do, and ought to, function. For example, one scenario explores the privatization of justice. This scenario is based on the normative and factual assumptions commonly associated with Chicago-school style neoclassical economics: The invisible hand of the market is superior to bureaucratic government action. The point of the scenarios is to frame the choice between competing sets of values and factual assumptions in a clear and perspicuous way.

 

 

II. FIVE SCENARIOS

 

 

  This Part explores five scenarios for the future of the California judiciary. The first scenario involves the revitalization of the traditional litigation process through a variety of reforms. The second scenario explores the expansion of private judging into the full-scale privatization of justice. The third scenario envisions the incorporation of alternative dispute resolution into a multi-door courthouse. The fourth scenario investigates the use of administrative tribunals to replace traditional courts for the resolution of most disputes. The fifth and final scenario imagines the evolution of Neighborhood Justice Centers into a community-based system of justice.

 

 

A. THE TRADITIONAL JUSTICE SCENARIO

 

1. The Core Idea

 

  Individualized justice with traditional procedures can function efficiently. The core of the first scenario is that the traditional model for litigation, including a trial before a jury pursuant to the rules of evidence, can be preserved by instituting a series of reforms. The traditional litigation model includes four essential components:

    *2133 . Liberal discovery rules for civil litigation require parties to cooperate in extensive pretrial investigation of the facts.

    . Trials are conducted according to the rules of evidence, with cross- examination of witnesses.

    . Any party has the option of trial by jury.

    . Each party has the right to representation by the counsel of his or her choice. [FN23]

 

The four components reflect the central premise of the traditional justice scenario: Each litigant should be given a full and fair opportunity to develop and present his or her case and have it evaluated by a jury of peers. In constitutional terms, this value premise is reflected in the right to procedural due process. [FN24]

 

  The traditional justice scenario also rests on a factual premise: Access to traditional justice can be provided without unreasonable delay and at reasonable expense to individuals at all income levels for large and small disputes. Because strong evidence indicates that the present system does not provide such access, the traditional justice scenario further assumes that a variety of reforms can improve the system's efficiency without sacrificing the procedural rights that characterize traditional justice.

 

  The traditional justice scenario is partly based on the postulate that the courts once enjoyed a "golden age," in which the values of individualized justice and procedural rights were realized without unreasonable delay or expense. The traditional justice scenario envisions a return to this age of efficient, albeit traditional, justice. However, the existence of such a golden age is questionable, and to the extent that the traditional justice scenario rests upon a mistaken belief about past conditions, the realism and practicality of the scenario are undermined.

 

  *2134 One important feature of the traditional justice scenario is that it preserves the right of each litigant to choose entry into the traditional system with the full panoply of discovery rights and procedural protections, including trial by jury. But choices about the nature of the process are made by the courts themselves. Changes in the mode of dispute resolution are likely to be incremental, instituted via common-law evolution and constitutional interpretation. Occasionally, the judicial system will itself initiate a major structural change, for example, the promulgation of the Federal Rules of Civil Procedure in the late 1930s. Neither the litigants themselves nor the legislature play a significant role in shaping the dispute resolution process.

 

  There is, however, a significant exception to this last generalization. The traditional model allows the parties to a dispute to settle it outside of court, and the method and terms of such a settlement are not subject to judicial regulation, with few exceptions. Thus, if the parties choose to settle their dispute by voluntarily referring it to an ADR mechanism, the courts will not interfere with that choice.

 

 

2. From Perpetual Crisis to a New Golden Age

 

  The theme of the courts in crisis has been sounded regularly during this century. [FN25] "The law's delay" [FN26] is, of course, a much older complaint than that: The notion that delay and expense effectively deny access to justice have figured prominently in English literature for centuries, notably in Charles Dickens' classic, Bleak House. [FN27] Perhaps because of the *2135 perception that inefficiency and delay have been persistent characteristics of the Anglo-American legal tradition, it is difficult to imagine a certain (or even reasonably likely) path to a system that provides universal access at a reasonable cost without unreasonable delay.

 

  Consider two strategies for structural reform that aim to increase efficiency substantially while preserving traditional procedures. The first strategy is to change the incentive structure for litigants in order to encourage more efficient and expedient behavior--the incentive strategy. One example of the incentive strategy is to adopt the English rule for the award of attorneys fees which requires the loser to pay both party's legal fees. Another example of the incentive strategy is to set early, firm trial dates to encourage settlement.

 

  The second strategy is to introduce structural changes in the litigation process that allow the traditional procedures to resolve a greater number of disputes per proceeding (and thus, in theory, per dollar expended)--the aggregation strategy. Class actions are one example of the second strategy; the proposal for collective trials in mass tort cases is a second example.

 

  Implementing either strategy in California would require cooperation between the legislative and judicial branches. For example, a change in the American rule, under which each side to a civil dispute bears its own fees, would require legislation and judicial implementation. Similar action would be required for expansion of the class action or adoption of collective trial mechanisms for mass tort cases.

 

  Thus, the traditional justice scenario is likely to begin with significant efforts at judicial reform. Fast-track experiments with the civil calendar evolve into a universal system for setting firm and early trial dates in all civil litigation. The legislature adopts structural reforms that create incentives for more efficient litigation behavior. Increased use of aggregation procedures allows the traditional trial process to dispose of a greater number of cases per hour of judicial time. The result is improved access for civil litigants with meritorious claims. The system is able to accommodate increases in the criminal caseload without impinging on its ability to process civil cases.

 

 

3. Reform of Civil Justice

 

  There are many proposals for increasing the efficiency of the traditional court system in civil cases. Rather than attempting an exhaustive *2136 catalog of the various proposals, two specific proposals will be examined as illustrative of the kind of reform that would be integral to the traditional justice scenario. The first proposal is for adoption of the English rule for attorneys fees; the second is for aggregation and sampling in mass tort cases.

 

  a. An incentive strategy: fee shifting: The incentive strategy for making traditional justice operate more efficiently gives litigants incentives to utilize the system more efficiently. One method for providing such incentives is a change in the system by which attorneys fees are paid. The American rule is that each party pays its own attorneys' fees. [FN28] The English rule is that the losing party pays the reasonable attorneys' fees of the prevailing party. Would adoption of the English rule create incentives for more efficient litigation behavior? Would such a rule lead to a consequent reduction in both the number of cases filed and the amount of judge time required to process cases?

 

  At the level of economic theory, a change in the fee system might have a number of effects. Under the current system, there is little disincentive for filing a lawsuit that has a very low probability of success at trial, so long as the expected return is greater than the plaintiff's cost of litigation. Contingent fee cases, in particular, impose very low costs on plaintiffs. The costs of such actions for plaintiffs' lawyers may be low as well. Given advances in word processing and photo-duplication technology, some actions can be filed at a very low initial cost. [FN29] Such lawsuits do, however, impose costs on defendants and on the judicial system. Under the English rule, the defendants' costs would be imposed on a plaintiff who did not prevail. Since defendants' costs can be quite substantial, this should lead to the filing of fewer claims with low probabilities of success.

 

  Another effect of the American rule may be to encourage litigants to engage in litigation tactics that are designed to increase the cost to opponents. This behavior could be motivated by several different considerations. Some opponents may not be able to bear the increased litigation cost and are forced to settle on less favorable terms or even to withdraw